Why is Personalizing News Hard?
by Mark Stefik - August 24th, 2010In the next few years, what percentage of people will personalize their news?
When I ask this question of news publishers, their answer is invariably “almost no one”. When I ask it of techies or beta users of our Kiffets social indexing system (a self-selected group to be sure!) they roll their eyes and say “almost everyone”. Why do we have such opposite expectations about the future of personalized news?
Often the hard part is asking the right questions. This post explores a deeper level of questions about personalized news.
News and Personalization Today
How many people personalize news now? Absent direct statistics, a proxy question is how many people use RSS readers since RSS users select their own feeds. A 2008 Forrester report pegs RSS usage at 11%. But, much has changed since 2008. More people are reading news online now than read newspapers, according to a BBC article published last March. The news industry is rapidly evolving, driven by declining revenue and changes in technology, as detailed in this recent Pew report. Many of the shifts enable personalization — as seen in the rise of Google News, Twitter, aggregators and mobile apps. Compared to using a single news provider, flipping across multiple providers is a hassle — whether they are accessed as multiple web sites, multiple mobile apps, multiple podcasts, or multiple radio stations. But will people take the time to set up their personal information diets?
The Arguments
Here are the main arguments that I hear from the nay-sayers — those who doubt that enough people want personalized news.
- People are lazy. People just want the news delivered. On the web they seldom take the time to vote on stories or even customize their home pages. Even if they would like personalized news, they don’t want to work hard at it.
- People don’t care. News is entertainment. Only a minority of people are concerned with how efficiently they manage their news reading time.
Here are the arguments that I hear from yea-sayers — those who already feel compelled to personalize their news.
- Mainstream news doesn’t cover my needs. There are particular topics I want to follow. The particular topics vary by the person. It may be a particular blogger, or news from a kid’s college, or news on a hobby, or professional news, or medical news.
- Mainstream news is boring. It covers the same stories several times a day on areas I don’t care about. The particular boring subjects vary by the person, whether they are not interested in traffic reports, disasters, political coverage, sports news, or whatever.
What Would Increase News Personalization?
A leader in mainstream news publishing recently told me that fewer than three percent of people enter customization information on mainstream news sites. This is consistent with anecdotal accounts of how often people customize home pages on web sites. In information foraging, there is often a perceived cost of the effort of doing something versus the expected benefit. If the benefit is not clear and immediate, people don’t bother.
Seeking deeper insights about the future of personalization, I have floated different scenarios with people. The most compelling scenarios are about virality. Suppose a person is interested in a topic that is not covered in mainstream news. From a friend or colleague they discover a specialized source that covers the topic very well. For example, there is a growing interest in the Bay Area about ecological matters such as solar energy, green building practices, and electric cars. On Kiffets there is a curated channel called Sustainable Living on this topic that enthusiasts are passing to their friends.
Adoption happens when users prefer the service for satisfying an information need. Sharing happens when they like it so well that they share it with others. Virality happens when each person shares it with enough others across social networks. Virality accelerates if they recommend the service to more people. People will make recommendations more broadly if the system satisfies many of their important information needs. There is a network effect in the middle of this process whereby personalized news gets better as more people build channels, find channels, and share them.
Systems that work on network effects take time to grow but they gain advantages over their competition as they get established. A social media example is Wikipedia. As it became an authoritative source, it appeared higher in search results, bringing in more users and attracting more contributors. Ed Chi and colleagues have reported on how its policies are now slowing its growth.
Subtle effects of policy and usability can limit rates of adoption and sharing. Because search engine rankings are designed to favor original content (like Wikipedia) and discount aggregation, growth of a personalized news site depends more on social networking and sharing. There are several places where design and usability factors matter:
- Indicating preferences. Personal news systems vary in their personalization models. Some systems determine user interests implicitly. They monitor a user’s reading habits and provide recommendations for articles or organized channels that would support their interests. Implicit recommendation is easy for users, but if personalization is opaque, they may feel powerless to control what news they get. If personalization requires that users make explicit choices, it may seem like too much work. Does the system surprise and delight users with new and interesting content?
- Finding channels. Most users would prefer finding a good channel on a topic of interest to building one. Does the system provide good guidance about the suitability of a channel? How difficult is it for a user to determine whether a channel is good? Does the content reflect certain perspective or biases? What is the right mix between on-topic content and content that is related but not precisely on topic?
- Building channels. The set of possible topics on the long tail is open-ended. If a user wants a channel on a topic not yet covered, how difficult is it to build one? How helpful is the system in identifying good sources? Does the system get better at recommending sources as more channels get built and more users read articles? How difficult is it to tune a topic to get better results? Can curators make a subject area more attractive and compelling by organizing related topics? Can a curator share the work load by collaborating with a few colleagues and get suggestions from other people who follow a channel?
- Contributing to channels. Our approach to collecting articles uses dedicated curators for channels. In contrast, collaborative filtering approaches identify groups of people with similar interests but may seem to organize information haphazardly. Social news channels draw on crowd wisdom to find interesting articles and rank them by popularity but can require long lead times to start specialized subject areas. (For a comparison of these approaches see my earlier post.) These approaches have different abilities to satisfy users by staying on topic, providing high-quality articles, bringing out important new trends, following personal preferences, and so on.
- Sharing channels. How easy is it for users to share channels? Does this system help identify colleagues or friends with similar interests? Does it foster connections with social networks? When users share articles, does the system pass along relevant information about topics and channels as well?
In summary, personalization depends on several parts of a system and virality can be blocked at many places. Shifting from mass media to “mass customization” requires getting many things to work well together. Several parts of personalized news systems get better as the number of users increases.
Finding the Right Questions — Fast
Returning to the issue of finding the right questions, we are in the middle of it. News publishers are fighting for their businesses. They are joined by techies and entrepreneurs in trying to invent the future of news.
The next set of questions includes the economics of personalized news. There are questions like “how much will they pay for it?” In an advertising revenue model, there is another set of questions.
Kiffets is being developed at PARC. It is now in open beta release on the Web. Try it out and watch the following video overview. Let us know what you think. (Oh, and pass it along to your friends!)








